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Red62
162226.3
772410.4
244511.0
Blue31
24418.6
887111.0
949813.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533402060801001201406231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.31.1
26.827.9
Auto11.5
Teleop13.3
End1.4
red by 13.2
9498
#23
13.20.3
13.212.9
Auto6.4
Teleop6.8
End0.0
Second
2445
#16
11.01.2
10.011.2
Auto5.7
Teleop4.1
End1.2
blue by 0.1
8871
#29
11.00.3
11.110.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End2.7
Third
7724
#18
10.41.2
9.210.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End1.7
red by 1.8
2441
#20
8.60.3
8.98.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed