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Red31
30088.4
372118.7
24418.6
Blue45
388116.6
94949.2
209012.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3430102040503145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3721
#13
18.70.0
13.013.0
Auto8.3
Teleop8.5
End1.9
red by 2.1
3881
#11
16.60.9
9.09.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End0.5
Second
2441
#20
8.60.0
11.011.1
Auto4.7
Teleop2.4
End1.5
blue by 3.8
12.51.3
11.612.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Third
3008
#21
8.40.0
6.66.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.2
blue by 0.8
9494
#22
9.21.3
7.38.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed