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Red80
69099.4
388226.2
246525.5
Blue60
285314.0
388017.7
887111.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664302060801001208060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.4
24.825.2
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End2.1
red by 8.5
3880
#12
17.70.3
17.417.7
Auto6.5
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Second
25.50.4
24.124.5
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End2.2
red by 11.4
2853
#10
14.00.3
13.814.1
Auto2.0
Teleop9.4
End2.6
Third
6909
#14
9.40.4
8.08.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 1.6
8871
#29
11.00.3
10.811.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End2.7