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Red71
949813.2
670415.0
388116.6
Blue61
285314.0
388017.7
887111.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4748304060707161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3881
#11
16.60.2
16.116.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End0.5
blue by 1.0
3880
#12
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto6.5
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Second
6704
#15
15.00.2
14.514.7
Auto6.6
Teleop7.6
End0.8
red by 1.0
2853
#10
14.00.0
14.114.0
Auto2.0
Teleop9.4
End2.6
Third
9498
#23
13.20.2
12.612.8
Auto6.4
Teleop6.8
End0.0
red by 2.1
8871
#29
11.00.0
11.111.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End2.7