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Red50
661524.8
821422.7
818822.6
Blue116
312831.8
448142.4
861332.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8511520406010014016018050116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6615
#73
24.82.5
26.323.8
Auto8.4
Teleop14.8
End1.7
blue by 17.6
4481
#14
42.40.4
39.740.1
Auto14.9
Teleop26.0
End1.5
Second
8214
#66
22.73.3
28.024.7
Auto11.3
Teleop11.3
End0.1
blue by 9.5
8613
#39
32.20.5
28.328.8
Auto11.7
Teleop18.5
End2.1
Third
8188
#33
22.62.5
25.923.4
Auto5.7
Teleop15.4
End1.6
blue by 9.2
3128
#23
31.80.4
32.432.7
Auto8.7
Teleop21.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsMissed98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned