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Qual 1022024 Hopper Division
Red107
523223.1
861332.2
889116.4
Blue119
815925.6
18042.4
132538.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6912050100150200107119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8613
#39
32.22.4
31.7→34.2
Auto11.7
Teleop18.5
End2.1
blue by 10.2
180
#3
42.40.4
43.3→43.8
Auto19.5
Teleop18.7
End4.2
Second
5232
#55
23.12.4
20.9→23.4
Auto4.9
Teleop16.6
End1.6
blue by 15.8
1325
#5
38.80.4
35.9→36.4
Auto8.5
Teleop28.8
End1.5
Third
8891
#64
16.42.4
15.8→18.2
Auto7.3
Teleop7.5
End1.6
blue by 9.2
8159
#44
25.60.4
23.2→23.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed