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Red63
30228.4
589541.2
889116.4
Blue104
204641.8
337410.2
364130.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10280406012014016018063104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5895
#12
41.21.8
41.539.7
Auto14.4
Teleop23.8
End3.0
blue by 0.5
41.81.9
38.840.7
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End4.3
Second
302
#56
28.41.8
30.228.4
Auto6.6
Teleop17.3
End4.5
blue by 1.6
3641
#54
30.11.9
28.130.1
Auto5.6
Teleop21.1
End3.3
Third
8891
#64
16.41.8
18.216.4
Auto7.3
Teleop7.5
End1.6
red by 6.3
3374
#57
10.21.9
8.210.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsEarned