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Red102
354628.7
59937.8
3343.9
Blue75
570517.3
313419.2
317536.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8882406010012010275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
43.91.2
37.939.1
Auto10.3
Teleop29.6
End4.0
red by 7.4
3175
#13
36.60.0
33.633.6
Auto11.4
Teleop22.7
End2.5
Second
3546
#50
28.71.2
31.733.0
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End5.5
red by 9.6
3134
#53
19.20.0
19.319.3
Auto10.0
Teleop8.1
End1.1
Third
5993
#67
7.81.5
8.910.4
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End1.6
blue by 9.5
5705
#74
17.30.0
21.721.7
Auto9.9
Teleop5.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed