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Red103
68736.0
354628.7
661524.8
Blue69
125028.4
30228.4
523223.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1038505015010369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#28
36.00.8
34.735.5
Auto12.4
Teleop23.5
End0.1
red by 7.6
302
#56
28.40.7
25.224.5
Auto6.6
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Second
3546
#50
28.70.8
33.033.8
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End5.5
red by 0.4
1250
#37
28.40.7
28.928.2
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End3.1
Third
6615
#73
24.80.8
23.624.4
Auto8.4
Teleop14.8
End1.7
red by 1.8
5232
#55
23.10.7
25.024.3
Auto4.9
Teleop16.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsMissed