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Red92
96948.9
331038.4
664727.1
Blue68
49832.2
354628.7
958412.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73954060801201409268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#20
38.41.6
33.835.3
Auto12.3
Teleop21.1
End5.0
red by 6.3
498
#48
32.21.0
36.035.0
Auto7.4
Teleop24.3
End0.5
Second
6647
#29
27.11.6
24.926.5
Auto5.2
Teleop20.6
End1.3
blue by 1.6
3546
#50
28.71.0
33.832.8
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End5.5
Third
9694
#58
8.91.6
9.911.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End0.6
blue by 4.0
9584
#27
12.91.0
13.412.4
Auto6.6
Teleop4.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed