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Red70
657421.3
349427.2
50921.8
Blue82
140333.8
818822.6
570517.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7190204060801001201401607082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#34
27.20.2
28.628.8
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End6.6
blue by 6.6
1403
#16
33.80.1
35.635.7
Auto13.2
Teleop18.7
End1.9
Second
509
#10
21.80.2
20.620.8
Auto6.2
Teleop12.4
End3.2
blue by 0.9
8188
#33
22.60.1
23.924.0
Auto5.7
Teleop15.4
End1.6
Third
6574
#52
21.30.2
17.617.8
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End2.0
red by 4.0
5705
#74
17.30.1
19.419.5
Auto9.9
Teleop5.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsMissed