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Red55
59937.8
771223.5
204641.8
Blue102
632853.4
132538.8
94298.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76104020406012014055102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.81.1
39.738.6
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End4.3
blue by 11.7
53.40.3
49.549.8
Auto17.1
Teleop29.7
End6.6
Second
7712
#32
23.51.1
22.421.3
Auto9.1
Teleop12.8
End1.6
blue by 15.3
38.80.3
33.633.9
Auto8.5
Teleop28.8
End1.5
Third
5993
#67
7.81.1
10.08.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End1.6
blue by 0.4
9429
#72
8.20.3
7.57.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsMissed88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
63%Ensemble oddsMissed66%Ensemble oddsEarned