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Red98
818822.6
237031.1
81832.2
Blue90
907233.7
125028.4
68736.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89113204060801001401601809890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#45
32.20.6
32.132.7
Auto9.3
Teleop20.3
End2.5
blue by 3.8
687
#28
36.00.6
36.235.5
Auto12.4
Teleop23.5
End0.1
Second
2370
#38
31.10.6
27.628.2
Auto7.0
Teleop22.5
End1.6
blue by 2.5
9072
#40
33.70.6
34.834.1
Auto11.7
Teleop21.9
End0.1
Third
8188
#33
22.60.6
24.024.6
Auto5.7
Teleop15.4
End1.6
blue by 5.7
1250
#37
28.40.6
28.828.1
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed