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Red116
283424.7
30228.4
861332.2
Blue123
3343.9
571524.6
207920.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9086607080100110120130116123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8613
#39
32.21.8
29.931.7
Auto11.7
Teleop18.5
End2.1
blue by 11.7
33
#1
43.92.8
39.242.0
Auto10.3
Teleop29.6
End4.0
Second
302
#56
28.41.8
30.132.0
Auto6.6
Teleop17.3
End4.5
red by 3.8
5715
#43
24.62.8
22.225.1
Auto9.0
Teleop13.1
End2.5
Third
2834
#41
24.71.8
21.323.1
Auto7.8
Teleop13.4
End3.4
red by 4.7
2079
#62
20.02.8
16.919.8
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsEarned30%Ensemble oddsMissed