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Red70
752527.8
958412.9
19535.5
Blue65
570517.3
829810.1
349427.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions955701507065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#63
35.51.1
38.837.6
Auto11.9
Teleop21.7
End1.9
red by 8.4
3494
#34
27.20.4
28.728.3
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End6.6
Second
7525
#46
27.81.1
28.527.4
Auto14.5
Teleop11.5
End1.8
red by 10.5
5705
#74
17.30.4
18.217.8
Auto9.9
Teleop5.7
End1.8
Third
9584
#27
12.91.1
14.413.2
Auto6.6
Teleop4.3
End2.0
red by 2.8
8298
#70
10.10.4
9.49.0
Auto5.6
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsEarned