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Red72
957621.7
490929.9
125028.4
Blue109
857630.4
580935.9
45628.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9292708010011012072109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#11
29.90.9
32.431.6
Auto12.5
Teleop14.1
End3.3
blue by 6.1
5809
#42
35.91.7
29.130.8
Auto10.8
Teleop23.5
End1.6
Second
1250
#37
28.40.9
27.026.1
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End3.1
blue by 2.1
8576
#31
30.41.7
28.630.4
Auto8.6
Teleop18.9
End3.0
Third
9576
#35
21.70.9
23.822.9
Auto7.4
Teleop12.8
End1.5
blue by 6.6
456
#22
28.31.7
25.227.0
Auto8.0
Teleop17.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsEarned