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Red64
821422.7
657421.3
313419.2
Blue45
94214.8
66529.6
364130.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions704602060801001206445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8214
#66
22.70.4
22.221.8
Auto11.3
Teleop11.3
End0.1
blue by 7.3
3641
#54
30.10.1
28.228.2
Auto5.6
Teleop21.1
End3.3
Second
6574
#52
21.30.4
19.318.9
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End2.0
red by 11.7
6652
#65
9.60.1
10.310.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.0
End0.6
Third
3134
#53
19.20.4
18.618.1
Auto10.0
Teleop8.1
End1.1
red by 14.3
9421
#71
4.80.1
5.75.7
Auto5.3
Teleop-1.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed