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Red173
8839.4
589541.2
801341.7
Blue116
331038.4
132538.8
354628.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321146080100140160180173116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.71.0
40.141.1
Auto11.1
Teleop24.0
End6.6
red by 2.8
38.80.1
38.738.8
Auto8.5
Teleop28.8
End1.5
Second
5895
#12
41.21.0
39.740.6
Auto14.4
Teleop23.8
End3.0
red by 2.8
3310
#20
38.40.1
38.338.4
Auto12.3
Teleop21.1
End5.0
Third
88
#24
39.41.0
37.938.8
Auto11.9
Teleop21.4
End6.1
red by 10.7
3546
#50
28.70.1
28.628.7
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End5.5