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Red87
504122.9
464630.0
252619.3
Blue120
460729.1
414334.4
784822.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7691406010012014087120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.4
29.629.9
Auto12.9
Teleop14.7
End2.4
blue by 4.4
34.40.9
33.033.8
Auto12.7
Teleop18.3
End3.3
Second
5041
#17
22.90.4
22.422.8
Auto9.3
Teleop11.4
End2.1
blue by 6.2
4607
#15
29.11.2
27.228.3
Auto9.1
Teleop17.8
End2.2
Third
2526
#10
19.30.4
18.919.2
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End3.0
blue by 2.6
7848
#30
22.00.9
20.521.4
Auto8.8
Teleop12.0
End1.1