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Red70
462418.0
882111.6
178525.6
Blue63
642434.5
96399.0
95797.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48642040801007063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.61.7
21.823.5
Auto6.9
Teleop16.1
End2.6
blue by 9.0
34.50.2
34.033.9
Auto14.3
Teleop16.6
End3.7
Second
4624
#12
18.01.8
13.415.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.1
End1.4
red by 9.0
9639
#52
9.00.3
11.511.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End0.1
Third
8821
#35
11.62.8
9.912.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End0.9
red by 4.1
9579
#42
7.50.3
10.29.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsEarned