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Red51
162519.8
252619.3
950813.8
Blue35
641915.5
882211.1
949515.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553902060801005135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.4
18.118.4
Auto6.4
Teleop11.5
End1.9
red by 4.4
6419
#41
15.50.1
13.713.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Second
2526
#10
19.30.2
14.815.0
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End3.0
red by 4.1
9495
#24
15.20.2
12.812.6
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Third
9508
#20
13.80.4
14.915.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End2.6
red by 2.7
8822
#49
11.10.2
10.710.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed