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Red53
485916.6
593516.5
460729.1
Blue43
95439.0
162519.8
882111.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624320801005343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#15
29.10.1
24.224.1
Auto9.1
Teleop17.8
End2.2
red by 9.2
19.80.2
18.418.6
Auto6.4
Teleop11.5
End1.9
Second
16.60.1
17.016.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End1.7
red by 5.0
8821
#35
11.60.2
14.214.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End0.9
Third
5935
#21
16.50.1
12.612.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End1.3
red by 7.5
9543
#51
9.00.2
8.78.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed