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Red49
96399.0
82989.0
621721.4
Blue52
583717.0
874424.2
95797.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3561020801001204952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6217
#16
21.40.3
17.517.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
blue by 2.8
8744
#11
24.20.7
25.324.6
Auto9.9
Teleop13.1
End1.2
Second
8298
#39
9.00.3
8.89.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.5
blue by 8.0
5837
#28
17.01.1
17.116.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End0.9
Third
9639
#52
9.00.5
8.38.7
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End0.1
red by 1.4
9579
#42
7.51.1
9.98.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed