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Red58
265419.9
670614.0
645510.1
Blue68
372310.1
462418.0
284723.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4355020801005868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.2
18.618.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.7
End2.2
blue by 3.8
2847
#14
23.71.2
22.623.8
Auto9.8
Teleop10.0
End4.0
Second
6706
#34
14.00.3
10.010.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 3.9
4624
#12
18.01.2
15.416.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.1
End1.4
Third
6455
#27
10.10.3
11.611.9
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Level
3723
#45
10.11.9
10.712.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned