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Red12
87372.8
95797.5
87664.0
Blue52
465515.9
642016.3
645510.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14500204060801252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9579
#42
7.51.3
9.28.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End0.2
blue by 8.7
6420
#43
16.30.7
16.717.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End1.8
Second
8766
#48
4.01.3
3.62.4
Auto1.9
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
blue by 11.9
4655
#26
15.91.1
14.315.4
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Third
8737
#47
2.81.3
4.43.2
Auto0.4
Teleop1.6
End0.8
blue by 7.3
6455
#27
10.11.1
10.411.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed