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Red71
87707.7
16716.6
115633.3
Blue74
621721.4
73098.3
460729.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654702040801001207174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#13
33.31.0
33.334.3
Auto14.3
Teleop17.2
End1.8
red by 4.2
4607
#15
29.13.1
20.823.9
Auto9.1
Teleop17.8
End2.2
Second
167
#22
16.61.0
15.516.5
Auto6.9
Teleop9.2
End0.6
blue by 4.7
6217
#16
21.42.0
18.520.5
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
Third
8770
#53
7.71.5
7.59.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End2.2
blue by 0.6
7309
#46
8.33.1
5.08.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed