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Red101
642434.5
284723.7
42608.1
Blue35
73098.3
96399.0
96716.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8030020406010012010135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.0
34.534.5
Auto14.3
Teleop16.6
End3.7
red by 18.2
967
#29
16.30.2
16.116.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End0.7
Second
2847
#14
23.70.0
23.823.8
Auto9.8
Teleop10.0
End4.0
red by 14.8
9639
#52
9.00.2
8.89.0
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End0.1
Third
4260
#31
8.10.0
8.18.1
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End0.5
blue by 0.2
7309
#46
8.30.2
8.18.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
73%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed