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Red43
680510.0
949515.2
485916.6
Blue42
96399.0
527519.9
64812.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37361020304050604342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.3
11.211.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End1.7
blue by 3.3
5275
#33
19.90.6
16.617.1
Auto8.2
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Second
9495
#24
15.28.4
17.89.4
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End2.2
red by 3.1
648
#32
12.10.7
10.010.7
Auto4.8
Teleop5.1
End2.2
Third
6805
#38
10.00.3
10.210.5
Auto1.6
Teleop7.7
End0.6
red by 1.0
9639
#52
9.00.9
9.09.8
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed