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Red0
784822.0
414334.4
460729.1
Blue61
284723.7
392823.9
52519.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88730204060100120140160061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#2DQ
34.40.0
32.132.1
Auto12.7
Teleop18.3
End3.3
red by 10.5
3928
#23
23.90.2
24.123.9
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End2.1
Second
4607
#15DQ
29.10.0
26.026.0
Auto9.1
Teleop17.8
End2.2
red by 5.3
2847
#14
23.70.2
24.023.8
Auto9.8
Teleop10.0
End4.0
Third
7848
#30DQ
22.00.0
19.719.7
Auto8.8
Teleop12.0
End1.1
red by 2.1
525
#6
19.80.2
20.119.9
Auto8.5
Teleop9.6
End1.7