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Red30
96712.3
641911.7
99951.3
Blue61
631713.8
52519.2
99998.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2041060801003061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#11
12.30.2
11.812.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.6
End0.4
blue by 6.9
525
#8
19.21.7
17.118.9
Auto8.3
Teleop9.1
End1.9
Second
11.70.2
11.311.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End1.0
blue by 2.1
13.81.7
12.113.8
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Third
9995
#12
1.30.2
-0.4-0.2
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
blue by 7.0
8.32.3
6.08.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed