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Red41
99975.8
52519.2
96712.3
Blue40
99960.6
631713.8
99998.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38370102030506070804140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#8
19.20.0
19.119.1
Auto8.3
Teleop9.1
End1.9
red by 5.4
13.80.1
13.813.8
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Second
967
#11
12.30.0
12.212.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.6
End0.4
red by 4.0
8.30.1
8.28.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End1.1
Third
5.80.0
5.75.7
Auto2.1
Teleop2.6
End0.9
red by 5.1
9996
#10
0.60.1
0.60.6
Auto1.5
Teleop-1.1
End0.1