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Red34
340511.4
417514.6
911413.3
Blue29
593314.3
943811.2
21308.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4131010205060703429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4175
#35
14.60.4
10.410.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.1
red by 0.3
5933
#28
14.30.3
13.713.4
Auto5.9
Teleop6.5
End1.9
Second
9114
#43
13.30.3
14.013.7
Auto8.0
Teleop4.8
End0.5
red by 2.1
9438
#12
11.20.3
6.46.1
Auto2.6
Teleop6.0
End2.6
Third
3405
#24Sur
11.40.3
11.411.1
Auto5.7
Teleop5.0
End0.6
red by 3.2
2130
#42
8.20.5
9.38.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed