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Red15
21308.2
84620.2
855110.2
Blue62
854614.1
189119.7
546120.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3941203050601562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#13
20.21.8
16.314.6
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 0.3
5461
#21
20.01.4
17.619.1
Auto8.7
Teleop10.0
End1.3
Second
8551
#39
10.22.4
9.36.9
Auto6.6
Teleop2.9
End0.7
blue by 9.6
1891
#34
19.71.4
11.412.8
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End2.1
Third
2130
#42
8.22.4
11.18.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End0.4
blue by 6.0
8546
#23
14.11.6
6.37.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed