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Red59
328812.5
93148.3
603635.8
Blue32
911413.3
548013.0
763410.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613302040801001205932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.80.2
34.334.5
Auto10.8
Teleop23.7
End1.2
red by 22.5
9114
#43
13.30.4
13.813.4
Auto8.0
Teleop4.8
End0.5
Second
3288
#14
12.50.2
9.59.6
Auto6.6
Teleop5.3
End0.5
blue by 0.5
5480
#31
13.00.7
9.89.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End0.7
Third
9314
#37
8.30.3
7.78.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End1.8
blue by 2.6
7634
#29
10.90.4
9.69.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed