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Qual 362024 Idaho Regional
Red45
84620.2
546120.0
636422.5
Blue57
324529.5
883914.6
259411.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7052204060801001204557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6364
#11
22.51.1
24.1→23.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.6
End1.9
blue by 7.0
3245
#5
29.50.5
24.3→24.8
Auto10.9
Teleop17.9
End0.7
Second
846
#13
20.21.1
15.2→14.1
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 5.6
8839
#26
14.60.5
14.1→14.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.3
Third
5461
#21
20.01.1
21.8→20.8
Auto8.7
Teleop10.0
End1.3
red by 8.5
2594
#25
11.50.5
11.1→11.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed