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Red40
911413.3
366911.8
913811.0
Blue48
904414.1
635819.6
93148.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383820253035455055604048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9114
#43
13.30.4
13.413.7
Auto8.0
Teleop4.8
End0.5
blue by 6.3
19.61.5
16.918.4
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Second
3669
#22
11.80.6
11.512.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.5
blue by 2.3
9044
#18
14.10.9
9.310.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Third
9138
#19
11.00.4
9.69.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.8
End0.9
red by 2.7
9314
#37
8.31.5
8.09.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed