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Red29
790613.4
417514.6
328812.5
Blue77
212230.1
635819.6
593314.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245604060802977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4175
#35
14.60.4
11.311.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.1
blue by 15.6
2122
#10
30.12.0
24.626.6
Auto8.1
Teleop17.9
End4.1
Second
7906
#27
13.40.3
6.97.1
Auto2.8
Teleop8.2
End2.4
blue by 6.1
19.63.4
10.714.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Third
3288
#14
12.50.3
7.07.3
Auto6.6
Teleop5.3
End0.5
blue by 1.9
5933
#28
14.32.0
11.213.3
Auto5.9
Teleop6.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned