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Red66
15662.7
763410.9
258423.4
Blue39
97378.3
340511.4
459817.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463602060801006639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.4
25.125.4
Auto7.7
Teleop11.8
End3.8
red by 6.0
4598
#16
17.40.0
16.416.5
Auto5.8
Teleop9.5
End2.1
Second
7634
#29
10.90.4
9.29.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End2.8
blue by 0.5
3405
#24
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto5.7
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Third
1566
#36
2.70.6
5.96.6
Auto1.7
Teleop0.6
End0.4
blue by 5.5
9737
#32
8.30.0
5.85.8
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed