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Red52
636422.5
58718.0
156916.8
Blue55
328812.5
281311.0
84620.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50350204060805255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6364
#11
22.50.6
23.023.6
Auto8.0
Teleop12.6
End1.9
red by 2.3
846
#13
20.21.4
14.115.6
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Second
1569
#17
16.80.6
12.613.2
Auto6.7
Teleop8.0
End2.1
red by 4.3
3288
#14
12.51.4
9.611.1
Auto6.6
Teleop5.3
End0.5
Third
5871
#41
8.00.9
7.88.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End1.7
blue by 3.0
2813
#30
11.01.4
9.511.0
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed