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Red77
39918.6
911413.3
789522.3
Blue48
635819.6
92437.2
189119.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5535020801001207748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.31.7
17.919.5
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End2.7
red by 2.5
1891
#34
19.70.9
14.014.9
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End2.1
Second
399
#9
18.61.7
15.617.2
Auto6.8
Teleop9.2
End2.5
blue by 1.0
19.61.6
18.420.0
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Third
9114
#43
13.31.7
13.715.4
Auto8.0
Teleop4.8
End0.5
red by 6.0
9243
#38
7.21.6
1.63.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed