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Red75
84620.2
19215.8
904414.1
Blue18
790613.4
97378.3
87565.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412902060807518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#13
20.21.3
17.218.5
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 6.8
7906
#27
13.40.7
14.413.8
Auto2.8
Teleop8.2
End2.4
Second
192
#20
15.81.3
7.68.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End2.8
red by 7.5
9737
#32
8.31.0
6.95.8
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.4
Third
9044
#18
14.11.3
10.912.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End1.9
red by 8.9
8756
#33
5.21.0
6.65.6
Auto1.3
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned30%Ensemble oddsMissed