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Red47
593314.3
258423.4
636422.5
Blue55
546120.0
39918.6
635819.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71640501001502004755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.41.1
24.623.5
Auto7.7
Teleop11.8
End3.8
red by 3.4
5461
#21
20.00.2
20.720.4
Auto8.7
Teleop10.0
End1.3
Second
6364
#11
22.51.1
23.522.5
Auto8.0
Teleop12.6
End1.9
red by 3.0
19.60.4
20.019.6
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Third
5933
#28
14.31.1
15.114.0
Auto5.9
Teleop6.5
End1.9
blue by 4.3
399
#9
18.60.2
17.817.5
Auto6.8
Teleop9.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsMissed