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Red34
259411.5
21308.2
790613.4
Blue53
548013.0
789522.3
97378.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37401020305060703453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7906
#27
13.40.1
13.813.6
Auto2.8
Teleop8.2
End2.4
blue by 8.8
22.30.8
19.520.4
Auto6.3
Teleop13.3
End2.7
Second
2594
#25
11.50.1
11.211.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End1.2
blue by 1.5
5480
#31
13.01.2
10.411.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End0.7
Third
2130
#42
8.20.2
8.88.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End0.4
blue by 0.1
9737
#32
8.31.2
5.87.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed