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Red90
92437.2
324529.5
854614.1
Blue21
913811.0
87565.2
97269.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions482204060801009021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.53.2
27.230.4
Auto10.9
Teleop17.9
End0.7
red by 18.6
9138
#19
11.00.1
10.210.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Second
8546
#23
14.13.2
11.114.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.1
red by 4.8
9726
#40
9.30.2
7.27.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Third
9243
#38
7.24.6
1.96.5
Auto2.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
red by 2.0
8756
#33
5.20.2
5.65.4
Auto1.3
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed