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Red52
316615.0
156916.8
548013.0
Blue44
58718.0
259411.5
189119.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46350204060805244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1569
#17
16.80.8
15.115.9
Auto6.7
Teleop8.0
End2.1
blue by 2.9
1891
#34
19.70.5
14.515.0
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End2.1
Second
3166
#15
15.00.8
13.414.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End2.0
red by 3.6
2594
#25
11.50.5
11.111.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End1.2
Third
5480
#31
13.01.1
11.612.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End0.7
red by 5.0
5871
#41
8.00.7
7.17.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed