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Red55
87565.2
459817.4
854614.1
Blue61
417514.6
39918.6
19215.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40462060805561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4598
#16
17.40.2
17.517.7
Auto5.8
Teleop9.5
End2.1
blue by 1.2
399
#9
18.60.4
17.517.9
Auto6.8
Teleop9.2
End2.5
Second
8546
#23
14.10.2
14.314.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.1
blue by 1.7
192
#20
15.80.4
9.810.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End2.8
Third
8756
#33
5.20.3
5.45.7
Auto1.3
Teleop2.8
End1.1
blue by 9.4
4175
#35
14.60.5
13.313.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed