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Red81
417514.6
324529.5
258423.4
Blue44
854614.1
635819.6
636422.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786020401001201408144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.2
29.830.0
Auto10.9
Teleop17.9
End0.7
red by 7.0
6364
#11
22.50.3
22.622.4
Auto8.0
Teleop12.6
End1.9
Second
23.40.2
23.623.8
Auto7.7
Teleop11.8
End3.8
red by 3.8
19.60.3
19.719.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Third
4175
#35
14.60.2
14.915.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.1
red by 0.5
8546
#23
14.10.3
14.213.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.1