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Red36
459817.4
156916.8
943811.2
Blue69
854614.1
635819.6
636422.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49632040801001203669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4598
#16
17.40.3
17.717.4
Auto5.8
Teleop9.5
End2.1
blue by 5.2
6364
#11
22.50.3
22.422.7
Auto8.0
Teleop12.6
End1.9
Second
1569
#17
16.80.3
17.116.8
Auto6.7
Teleop8.0
End2.1
blue by 2.8
19.60.4
19.319.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Third
9438
#12
11.20.3
11.511.2
Auto2.6
Teleop6.0
End2.6
blue by 2.9
8546
#23
14.10.3
13.914.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.1