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Red70
409620.7
11130.3
593428.5
Blue83
35944.6
233836.6
465519.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8511740601001401607083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#7
30.30.2
30.730.5
Auto11.5
Teleop17.7
End1.1
blue by 14.4
359
#3
44.60.6
45.344.7
Auto15.3
Teleop23.2
End6.2
Second
28.50.2
29.028.7
Auto10.0
Teleop15.4
End3.1
blue by 8.1
36.60.6
37.336.7
Auto12.6
Teleop17.3
End6.6
Third
4096
#14
20.70.2
21.120.9
Auto6.4
Teleop11.5
End2.8
red by 1.6
4655
#22
19.10.6
19.719.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End4.2