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Red65
465519.1
302322.5
64816.1
Blue76
204012.8
812230.2
958517.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49572040801006576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3023
#24
22.51.6
17.719.2
Auto7.6
Teleop12.6
End2.3
blue by 7.8
8122
#10
30.21.5
28.730.3
Auto12.6
Teleop14.5
End3.1
Second
4655
#22
19.11.6
14.616.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End4.2
red by 1.4
9585
#35
17.72.6
11.514.1
Auto7.1
Teleop8.3
End2.3
Third
648
#26
16.11.6
13.415.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.3
red by 3.4
2040
#29
12.81.5
10.812.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsMissed